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House
NY-22 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
John Mannion
Democratic party
96.7%
▲ 0.6
Yes
96.9¢
No
4.4¢
John Mannion
Democratic party
96.7%
▲ 0.6
Yes
96.9¢
No
4.4¢
Kailee Buller
Republican party
3.3%
▼ 0.6
Yes
3.9¢
No
97.8¢
Kailee Buller
Republican party
3.3%
▼ 0.6
Yes
3.9¢
No
97.8¢
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Buy
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Dollars
NY-22 House winner?
John Mannion
YES 96.9¢
NO 4.4¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Mannion
Nov 3
·
D +20.1
margin forecast
Buller
$24,879 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
NY-22 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
John Mannion (D)
Running for re-election
NY-22 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
John Mannion
D
$3.1M
12%
$3.1M raised
·
12% small donors
Kailee Tkacz Buller
R
$429K
5.4%
$429K raised
·
5.4% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past NY-22 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +7.7%
2020
D +11.4%