Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive188AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE188
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

CA-39 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Mark Takano
Democratic party
97.3%

Mark Takano

Democratic party
97.3%

Steve Manos
Republican party
2.7%

Steve Manos

Republican party
2.7%

People are also trading
Series Image
California's 39th District margin of victory
Series Image
California 39 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
CA-39 House election: Mark Takano vote percent
Series Image
CA-39 House election: Steve Manos vote percent
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
Florida Governor winner?
Series Image
South Carolina Senate winner?
Series Image
Iowa Senate winner?

More California and 2026 Midterm Races

More California races

California Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonCA-11 House raceCA-22 House raceCA-45 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman

More races

Kansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyAlaska Senate raceNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. CollinsGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. JacksonMassachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. MinogueFlorida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. Sununu
CA-39 House winner?

Mark Takano

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Takano
Nov 3 ·D +22.1margin forecast
Manos
$4,754 vol
Race Intel· California

CA-39 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMark Takano (D)Running for re-election

CA-39 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Mark TakanoD
    $1.1M
    11%
    $1.1M raised·11% small donors
  • Steve ManosR
    $11.4K
    9.0%
    $11.4K raised·9.0% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-39 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +9.6%2020D +26.0%