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Florida Governor Winner? 2026 Race Odds & Polls: Donalds vs. Jolly | Kalshi

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Governor

Florida Governor winner?

Resolves by winning party

Jolly

Nov 3 ·R +5.4margin forecast

Donalds

$3,479,198 vol

Chance

Byron Donalds

Republican party

79%

Byron Donalds

Republican party

79%

David Jolly

Democratic party

21%

David Jolly

Democratic party

21%

Race Intel

Florida Governor Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentRon DeSantis (R)Term-limited

Florida Governor Candidates

CandidatePolls

Byron DonaldsR48.1%
48.1%
David JollyD43.3%
43.3%

Donalds vs. Jolly Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageDonalds +4.848.1% vs. 43.3%

Kalshi oddsDonalds 79%Jolly 21% · $3.4M traded

Polling averages

Past Florida Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.1%2020R +3.4%

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Florida Governor margin of victory

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Florida Governor: which counties will Byron Donalds win?

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Broward County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent

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Hillsborough County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent

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Miami-Dade County, Florida: Byron Donalds vote percent

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Palm Beach County, Florida: David Jolly vote percent

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Florida Governor election: Byron Donalds vote percent

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Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent

More Florida and 2026 Midterm Races

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Florida Governor winner?

Byron Donalds

Dollars$

Odds

82% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

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Control of Congress

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