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AZ-02 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Crane vs. Nez | Kalshi
House
AZ-02 House winner?
Live
93.1% votes counted
·
R +0.7
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Eli Crane
49.7% · 154,125 votes
Republican party
96.9%
▲ 25.9
Yes
96.6¢
No
3.6¢
Eli Crane
49.7% · 154,125 votes
Republican party
96.9%
▲ 25.9
Yes
96.6¢
No
3.6¢
Jonathan Nez
48.5% · 150,290 votes
Democratic party
3.1%
▼ 25.9
Yes
3.3¢
No
96.9¢
Jonathan Nez
48.5% · 150,290 votes
Democratic party
3.1%
▼ 25.9
Yes
3.3¢
No
96.9¢
AZ-02 House Margin of Victory
AZ-02 House Voter Turnout
AZ-02 House Vote Percent
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Candidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
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AZ-02 House winner?
Eli Crane
YES 96.6¢
NO 3.6¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
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Nez
150,290
Crane
154,125
$1,454,204 vol
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Race Intel
AZ-02 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Elijah Crane (R)
Running for re-election
AZ-02 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Eli Crane
R
$11.6M
35%
$11.6M raised
·
35% small donors
Jonathan Nez
D
$3.5M
42%
$3.5M raised
·
42% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past AZ-02 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +14.9%
2020
R +7.9%
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AZ-01 House race
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