Cash
Portfolio
Log in
Sign up
Trending
Midterms
Elections
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Predict
Live
126
Account
Search
Social
MARKETS
PERPS
LIVE
126
PRO
MORE
House
CA-45 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Derek Tran
Democratic party
92.6%
▲ 1.2
Yes
93¢
No
7.1¢
Derek Tran
Democratic party
92.6%
▲ 1.2
Yes
93¢
No
7.1¢
Chuong Vo
Republican party
7.4%
▼ 1.2
Yes
7.5¢
No
93.2¢
Chuong Vo
Republican party
7.4%
▼ 1.2
Yes
7.5¢
No
93.2¢
People are also trading
California Lieutenant Governor winner?
California's 45th District margin of victory
California 45 House General Election: voter turnout
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
CA-22 House winner?
CA-13 House winner?
California Insurance Commissioner winner?
CA-09 House winner?
Show more
More California and 2026 Midterm Races
More California races
California Governor race: Becerra vs. Hilton
CA-11 House race
CA-22 House race
Control of Congress
Which party will win the Senate?
Which party will win the House?
Congress balance of power
Top races
Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton
Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins
Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers
Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted
Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa
Iowa Senate race: Hinson vs. Turek
South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews
Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy
New York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman
Kansas Senate race: Marshall vs. Hamilton
More races
Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly
Minnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. Tafoya
North Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley
Nebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. Osborn
Alaska Senate race
Georgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. Collins
Georgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. Jackson
Massachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. Minogue
New Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. Sununu
Florida Senate race: Moody vs. Nixon
Show more
Buy
Sell
Dollars
CA-45 House winner?
Derek Tran
YES 93¢
NO 7.1¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Tran
Nov 3
·
D +13.8
margin forecast
Vo
$149,203 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
CA-45 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Derek Tran (D)
Running for re-election
CA-45 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Chuong Vo
R
$844K
27%
$844K raised
·
27% small donors
Derek Tran
D
$5M
16%
$5M raised
·
16% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CA-45 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +4.0%
2020
D +10.1%