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ME-02 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds & Polls: LePage vs. Dunlap | Kalshi
House
ME-02 House winner?
Live
97.8% votes counted
·
R +1.3
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Paul LePage
49.9% · 170,265 votes
Republican party
99.9%
▲ 1.2
Yes
99.8¢
No
0.4¢
Paul LePage
49.9% · 170,265 votes
Republican party
99.9%
▲ 1.2
Yes
99.8¢
No
0.4¢
Matt Dunlap
48.3% · 164,845 votes
Democratic party
0.1%
▼ 1.2
Yes
0.6¢
No
99.9¢
Matt Dunlap
48.3% · 164,845 votes
Democratic party
0.1%
▼ 1.2
Yes
0.6¢
No
99.9¢
ME-02 House Margin of Victory
ME-02 House Voter Turnout
ME-02 House Vote Percent
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ME-02 House election: Matt Dunlap vote percent (1st Round)
ME-02 House election: Paul LePage vote percent (1st Round)
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Candidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
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Dollars
Paul LePage
YES --
NO --
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
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Dunlap
164,845
LePage
170,265
$1,048,452 vol
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1W
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Race Intel
ME-02 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Jared Golden (D)
Not seeking re-election
ME-02 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Polls
Raised
Small Donors
Paul LePage
R
50.4%
50.4%
$3.2M
6.2%
$3.2M raised
·
6.2% small donors
Matt Dunlap
D
47.2%
47.2%
$2.7M
35%
$2.7M raised
·
35% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past ME-02 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +9.0%
2020
R +6.1%
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