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  1. House

MT-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Combo
Chance
Sam Forstag
Democratic party
57%
▼ 1

Sam Forstag

Democratic party
57%
▼ 1
Aaron Flint
Republican party
43%
▲ 1

Aaron Flint

Republican party
43%
▲ 1

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Who will control the House?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
Combo
MT-01 House winner?

Sam Forstag

Odds
60% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Forstag
Nov 3 ·D +1.7margin forecast
Flint
$986,237 vol
Race Intel

MT-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentRyan Zinke (R)Not seeking re-election

MT-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Sam ForstagD46.8%
    46.8%
    $1.4M
    36%
    $1.4M raised·36% small donors
  • Aaron FlintR44.8%
    44.8%
    $2.6M
    22%
    $2.6M raised·22% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MT-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +11.5%2020R +6.9%

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