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  1. Senate

Texas Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
James Talarico
Democratic party
Yes

James Talarico

Democratic party
Yes
Ken Paxton
Republican party
No

Ken Paxton

Republican party
No

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Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout
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Texas Senate: margin of victory
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Texas Senate margin of victory
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Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin?
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How many Texas counties will James Talarico win this year?
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Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?
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Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent
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Bexar County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
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Collin County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
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Dallas County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
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Determined
Outcome: Yes
Explore Elections
Talarico
Nov 3 ·D +12.2margin forecast
Paxton
$199,840,761 vol
Race Intel

Texas Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJohn Cornyn (R)Lost primary

Texas Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • James TalaricoD49.3%
    49.3%
    $68.6M
    54%
    $68.6M raised·54% small donors
  • Ken PaxtonR45.6%
    45.6%
    $19.5M
    19%
    $19.5M raised·19% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Texas Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.7%2020R +5.6%

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Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 Senate forecast

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