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House
MO-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Emanuel Cleaver
Democratic party
97.1%
▼ 0.4
Yes
97.9¢
No
2.3¢
Emanuel Cleaver
Democratic party
97.1%
▼ 0.4
Yes
97.9¢
No
2.3¢
Rick Brattin
Republican party
2.9%
▲ 0.4
Yes
2.8¢
No
97.8¢
Rick Brattin
Republican party
2.9%
▲ 0.4
Yes
2.8¢
No
97.8¢
MO-05 House Margin of Victory
MO-05 House Voter Turnout
MO-05 House Vote Percent
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Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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MO-05 House winner?
Emanuel Cleaver
YES 97.9¢
NO 2.3¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
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Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
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Cleaver
Nov 3
·
D +30.2
margin forecast
Brattin
$227,052 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
MO-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Emanuel Cleaver (D)
Running for re-election
MO-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Emanuel Cleaver
D
$1.3M
11%
$1.3M raised
·
11% small donors
Rick Brattin
R
$457.5K
2.4%
$457.5K raised
·
2.4% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past MO-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +18.3%
2020
R +14.3%
More Missouri and 2026 Midterm Races
More Missouri races
MO-02 House race
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