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  1. House

AZ-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Paul Gosar
Republican party
95.1%
▲ 0.1

Paul Gosar

Republican party
95.1%
▲ 0.1
Dani Sterbinsky
Democratic party
4.9%
▼ 0.1

Dani Sterbinsky

Democratic party
4.9%
▼ 0.1
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Arizona's 9th District margin of victory
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Arizona 09 House General Election: voter turnout
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AZ-09 House election: Dani Sterbinsky vote percent
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AZ-09 House election: Paul Gosar vote percent
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More Arizona and 2026 Midterm Races

More Arizona races

Arizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsAZ-01 House raceAZ-02 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

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Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornAlaska Senate raceGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. JacksonCalifornia Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. CollinsIowa Governor race: Sand vs. Lahn
AZ-09 House winner?

Paul Gosar

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sterbinsky
Nov 3 ·R +18.6margin forecast
Gosar
$18,001 vol
Race Intel

AZ-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentPaul Gosar (R)Running for re-election

AZ-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Dani SterbinskyD
    $437K
    86%
    $437K raised·86% small donors
  • Paul GosarR
    $580K
    21%
    $580K raised·21% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past AZ-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +31.0%2020R +25.8%