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House
IL-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Patty Garcia
Democratic party
93.4%
▼ 1.3
Yes
97.5¢
No
8.6¢
Patty Garcia
Democratic party
93.4%
▼ 1.3
Yes
97.5¢
No
8.6¢
Chris Getty
Independent
3%
▼ 22
Yes
10¢
No
98¢
Chris Getty
Independent
3%
▼ 22
Yes
10¢
No
98¢
Lupe Castillo
Republican party
2.9%
▲ 2.7
Yes
2.9¢
No
99.8¢
Lupe Castillo
Republican party
2.9%
▲ 2.7
Yes
2.9¢
No
99.8¢
Mayra Macías
Independent
<1%
Yes
1¢
No
Mayra Macías
Independent
<1%
Yes
1¢
No
People are also trading
Illinois's 4th District margin of victory
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Buy
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Dollars
IL-04 House winner?
Patty Garcia
YES 97.5¢
NO 8.6¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Garcia
Nov 3
·
D +33.6
margin forecast
Getty
$33,238 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
IL-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Jesus Garcia (D)
Not seeking re-election
IL-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Byron Sigcho Lopez
I
$182.2K
19%
$182.2K raised
·
19% small donors
Christopher Getty
I
$188.2K
6.5%
$188.2K raised
·
6.5% small donors
Lupe Castillo
R
—
—
Mayra Macias
I
$306.1K
19%
$306.1K raised
·
19% small donors
Patty Garcia
D
$358.7K
7.0%
$358.7K raised
·
7.0% small donors
Garcia vs. Getty Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Garcia 93%
Getty 3% · $25K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past IL-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +28.3%
2020
D +46.4%