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House
KY-06 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Zach Dembo
Democratic party
56%
Yes
58¢
No
43¢
Zach Dembo
Democratic party
56%
Yes
58¢
No
43¢
Ralph Alvarado
Republican party
44%
Yes
44¢
No
57¢
Ralph Alvarado
Republican party
44%
Yes
44¢
No
57¢
KY-06 House Margin of Victory
KY-06 House Voter Turnout
KY-06 House Vote Percent
People are also trading
Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory
Kentucky 06 House General Election: voter turnout
Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory
KY-06 House election: Zach Dembo vote percent
KY-06 House election: Ralph Alvarado vote percent
Who will control the House?
Texas Senate winner?
Who will control the Senate?
Michigan Senate winner?
Florida Governor winner?
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Candidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
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KY-06 House winner?
Zach Dembo
YES 58¢
NO 43¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
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Odds
60% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
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Dembo
Nov 3
·
D +0.3
margin forecast
Alvarado
$296,924 vol
1D
1W
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Race Intel
KY-06 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Andy Barr (R)
Not seeking re-election
KY-06 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Polls
Raised
Small Donors
Zach Dembo
D
45.6%
45.6%
$1.5M
11%
$1.5M raised
·
11% small donors
Ralph Alvarado
R
41.1%
41.1%
$2.2M
0.9%
$2.2M raised
·
0.9% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past KY-06 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +15.0%
2020
R +11.0%
More Kentucky and 2026 Midterm Races
More Kentucky races
Kentucky Senate race: Barr vs. Booker
Control of Congress
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