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  1. House

TX-31 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
John Carter
Republican party
93.4%
▼ 0.9

John Carter

Republican party
93.4%
▼ 0.9
Justin Early
Democratic party
6.6%
▲ 0.9

Justin Early

Democratic party
6.6%
▲ 0.9
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Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaTX-15 House raceTX-23 House raceTX-35 House raceTX-28 House raceTX-34 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsKansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. MarshallFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. Tafoya

More races

Delaware Senate race: Coons vs. KatzIllinois Senate race: Stratton vs. TracyWyoming Senate race: Hageman vs. ByrdHawaii Governor race: Green vs. CorderyOregon Senate race: Merkley vs. SmithAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. WessSouth Dakota Governor race: Rhoden vs. AhlersIdaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensWyoming Governor race: Barlow vs. CasnerNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley
TX-31 House winner?

John Carter

Odds
95% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Early
Nov 3 ·R +12.1margin forecast
Carter
$16,979 vol
Race Intel

TX-31 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJohn Carter (R)Running for re-election

TX-31 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • John CarterR
    $1.5M
    0.2%
    $1.5M raised·0.2% small donors
  • Justin EarlyD
    $123.5K
    24%
    $123.5K raised·24% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-31 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +21.8%2020R +17.8%