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  1. House

FL-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Aaron Bean
Republican party
78%
▼ 8

Aaron Bean

Republican party
78%
▼ 8
LaShonda Holloway
Democratic party
22%
▲ 8

LaShonda Holloway

Democratic party
22%
▲ 8
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Florida's 4th District margin of victory
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Florida 04 House General Election: voter turnout
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FL-04 House election: Aaron Bean vote percent
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FL-04 House election: LaShonda Holloway vote percent
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Florida's 4th District margin of victory
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FL-04 House winner?

Aaron Bean

Odds
80% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Holloway
Nov 3 ·R +5.6margin forecast
Bean
$21,900 vol
Race Intel

FL-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAaron Bean (R)Running for re-election

FL-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Aaron BeanR
    $2.5M
    0.3%
    $2.5M raised·0.3% small donors
  • LaShonda HollowayD
    $53.8K
    33%
    $53.8K raised·33% small donors

Bean vs. Holloway Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsBean 78%Holloway 22% · $17.5K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +11.8%2020R +6.7%