Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive146AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE146
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

FL-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Dan Green
Republican party
70%
▼ 1

Dan Green

Republican party
70%
▼ 1

Darren Soto
Democratic party
30%
▲ 1

Darren Soto

Democratic party
30%
▲ 1

People are also trading
Series Image
Florida's 9th District margin of victory
Series Image
FL-09 House election: Dan Green vote percent
Series Image
FL-09 House election: Darren Soto vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
Maine Senate winner?
Series Image
Ohio Governor winner?
Series Image
South Carolina Senate winner?

More Florida and 2026 Midterm Races

More Florida races

Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyFlorida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonFL-25 House raceFL-14 House raceFL-22 House raceFL-27 House raceFL-07 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

North Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornAlaska Senate raceGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. JacksonCalifornia Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. CollinsIowa Governor race: Sand vs. LahnNevada Governor race: Ford vs. Lombardo
FL-09 House winner?

Dan Green

Odds
72% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Soto
Nov 3 ·D +6.0margin forecast
Green
$124,834 vol
Race Intel

FL-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentDarren Soto (D)Running for re-election

FL-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Dan GreenR
    $2.2M
    0.4%
    $2.2M raised·0.4% small donors
  • Darren SotoD
    $3.5M
    2.1%
    $3.5M raised·2.1% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +17.7%2020R +6.8%