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AR-02 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds & Polls: Hill vs. Jones | Kalshi

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House

AR-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Jones

Nov 3

Hill

$131,700 vol

Chance

French Hill

Republican party

81%

▲ 1

French Hill

Republican party

81%

▲ 1

Chris Jones

Democratic party

19%

▼ 1

Chris Jones

Democratic party

19%

▼ 1

Race Intel

AR-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJ. Hill (R)Running for re-election

AR-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors

French HillR50.0%
50.0%
$5M
0.7%
$5M raised·0.7% small donors
Chris JonesD47.3%
47.3%
$1.8M
25%
$1.8M raised·25% small donors

Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past AR-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +15.5%2020R +13.1%

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Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory

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Arkansas's 2nd District margin of victory

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Arkansas 02 House General Election: voter turnout

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AR-02 House election: Chris Jones vote percent

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AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent

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Texas Senate winner?

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Who will control the House?

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Texas Governor winner?

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Kansas Senate winner?

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Who will control the Senate?

More Arkansas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Arkansas races

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Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?

AR-02 House winner?

Chris Jones

Dollars$

Odds

20% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

Congress balance of power

Top races

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