FL-16 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Kirschner

Nov 3 ·R +5.4margin forecast

Gruters

$33,235 vol

Chance

Sydney Gruters

Republican party

77%

▲ 1

Sydney Gruters

Republican party

77%

▲ 1

Kelly Kirschner

Democratic party

23%

▼ 1

Kelly Kirschner

Democratic party

23%

▼ 1

Race Intel

FL-16 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentVern Buchanan (R)Not seeking re-election

FL-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Kelly KirschnerD
$751.6K
12%
$751.6K raised·12% small donors
Sydney GrutersR
$1.6M
0.3%
$1.6M raised·0.3% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-16 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.6%2020R +5.5%

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FL-16 House winner?

Sydney Gruters

Dollars

Odds

78% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

FL-16 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Kirschner

Nov 3 ·R +5.4margin forecast

Gruters

$33,235 vol

Chance

Sydney Gruters

Republican party

77%

▲ 1

Sydney Gruters

Republican party

77%

▲ 1

Kelly Kirschner

Democratic party

23%

▼ 1

Kelly Kirschner

Democratic party

23%

▼ 1

Race Intel

FL-16 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentVern Buchanan (R)Not seeking re-election

FL-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Kelly KirschnerD
$751.6K
12%
$751.6K raised·12% small donors
Sydney GrutersR
$1.6M
0.3%
$1.6M raised·0.3% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.