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KY-03 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: McGarvey vs. Rodriguez | Kalshi

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House

KY-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

McGarvey

Nov 3 ·D +30.1margin forecast

Rodriguez

$12,113 vol

Chance

Morgan McGarvey

Democratic party

96.6%

▼ 0.2

Morgan McGarvey

Democratic party

96.6%

▼ 0.2

Maria Rodriguez

Republican party

3.4%

▲ 0.2

Maria Rodriguez

Republican party

3.4%

▲ 0.2

Race Intel

KY-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentMorgan McGarvey (D)Running for re-election

KY-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Maria Teresa RodriguezR
$38.1K
11%
$38.1K raised·11% small donors
Morgan McGarveyD
$2M
8.6%
$2M raised·8.6% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past KY-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +18.9%2020D +22.3%

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KY-03 House election: Maria Teresa Rodriguez vote percent

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KY-03 House winner?

Maria Rodriguez

Dollars$

Odds

3% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

Congress balance of power

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