NY-12 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Micah Lasher
Democratic party
98.1%
▲ 0.1
Micah Lasher
Democratic party
98.1%
▲ 0.1
Caroline Shinkle
Republican party
1.9%
▼ 0.1
Caroline Shinkle
Republican party
1.9%
▼ 0.1
Race Intel
NY-12 House Race 2026
ElectionGeneral election
IncumbentJerrold Nadler (D)Not seeking re-election
NY-12 House Candidates and Fundraising
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
- Caroline ShinkleR$155.1K15%$155.1K raised·15% small donors
- Micah LasherD$3.3M2.7%$3.3M raised·2.7% small donors
Past NY-12 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024D +63.6%2020D +71.4%
More New York and 2026 Midterm Races
NY-12 House winner?
Micah Lasher
Odds
99% chanceMax payout
Nov 3, 2027