Skip to main content
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive173AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE173
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQPrediction marketsFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
Series Image
  1. House

NY-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Laura Gillen
Democratic party
Yes

Laura Gillen

Democratic party
Yes
Jeanine Driscoll
Republican party
No

Jeanine Driscoll

Republican party
No

People are also trading
Series Image
New York's 4th District margin of victory
Series Image
New York 04 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
NY-04 House election: Blay Tarnoff vote percent
Series Image
NY-04 House election: Jeanine Driscoll vote percent
Series Image
NY-04 House election: Laura Gillen vote percent
Series Image
Alaska Senate winner?
Series Image
Alaska Governor winner? (Party)
Series Image
Alaska House winner?
Series Image
2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)
Series Image
CO-04 House winner?
General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
Illustration of gavel
Determined
Outcome: Yes
Explore Elections
Gillen
Nov 3 ·D +24.9margin forecast
Driscoll
$256,134 vol
Race Intel

NY-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentLaura Gillen (D)Running for re-election

NY-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jeanine DriscollR
    $664.6K
    5.5%
    $664.6K raised·5.5% small donors
  • Laura GillenD
    $6M
    6.2%
    $6M raised·6.2% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +1.3%2020D +14.5%

More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

More New York races

New York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanNY-17 House raceNY-01 House raceNY-21 House raceNY-02 House raceNY-03 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions2026 House forecast

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTexas Governor race: Hinojosa vs. AbbottMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersAlaska Senate raceMississippi Senate race: Colom vs. Hyde-SmithFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsSouth Carolina Senate race: Andrews vs. GrahamNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. BurbankIowa Senate race: Turek vs. Hinson

More races

New Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. FazioNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. BennettRhode Island Governor race: Foulkes vs. BlockOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. ThomasVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. MizusawaNew Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. MarkerColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyAlabama Senate race: Moore vs. Wess