PA-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Dean

Nov 3 ·D +27.0margin forecast

Stuski

$6,648 vol

Chance

Madeleine Dean

Democratic party

95.4%

Madeleine Dean

Democratic party

95.4%

Aurora Stuski

Republican party

4.6%

Aurora Stuski

Republican party

4.6%

Race Intel

PA-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentMadeleine Dean (D)Running for re-election

PA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Aurora StuskiR
$8,800
35%
$8,800 raised·35% small donors
Madeleine DeanD
$1.9M
12%
$1.9M raised·12% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +15.8%2020D +18.9%

People are also trading

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

Pennsylvania's 4th District margin of victory

Pennsylvania 04 House General Election: voter turnout

More Pennsylvania and 2026 Midterm Races

More Pennsylvania races

Pennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. Garrity PA-01 House race PA-08 House race PA-07 House race

PA-04 House winner?

Aurora Stuski

Dollars

Odds

4% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

PA-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Dean

Nov 3 ·D +27.0margin forecast

Stuski

$6,648 vol

Chance

Madeleine Dean

Democratic party

95.4%

Madeleine Dean

Democratic party

95.4%

Aurora Stuski

Republican party

4.6%

Aurora Stuski

Republican party

4.6%

Race Intel

PA-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentMadeleine Dean (D)Running for re-election

PA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Aurora StuskiR
$8,800
35%
$8,800 raised·35% small donors
Madeleine DeanD
$1.9M
12%
$1.9M raised·12% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +15.8%2020D +18.9%

People are also trading

Pennsylvania Governor winner?

Pennsylvania's 4th District margin of victory

Pennsylvania 04 House General Election: voter turnout

More Pennsylvania and 2026 Midterm Races

More Pennsylvania races

Pennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. Garrity PA-01 House race PA-08 House race PA-07 House race

PA-04 House winner?

Aurora Stuski

Dollars

Odds

4% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

PA-04 House winner?

Madeleine Dean

Aurora Stuski

PA-04 House Race 2026

PA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

Past PA-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

More Pennsylvania and 2026 Midterm Races

More Pennsylvania races

Aurora Stuski

PA-04 House winner?

Madeleine Dean

Aurora Stuski

PA-04 House Race 2026

PA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

Past PA-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

More Pennsylvania and 2026 Midterm Races

More Pennsylvania races

Aurora Stuski

Control of Congress

Top races

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