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TN-09 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Taylor vs. Pearson | Kalshi

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House

TN-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Pearson

Nov 3

Taylor

$211,413 vol

Chance

Brent Taylor

Republican party

83%

▼ 1

Brent Taylor

Republican party

83%

▼ 1

Justin J. Pearson

Democratic party

17%

▲ 1

Justin J. Pearson

Democratic party

17%

▲ 1

Race Intel

TN-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentSteve Cohen (D)Not seeking re-election

TN-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Brent TaylorR
$1.5M
0.2%
$1.5M raised·0.2% small donors
Justin PearsonD
$3.6M
48%
$3.6M raised·48% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TN-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +21.1%2020R +16.5%

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Control of Congress

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TN-09 House winner?

Justin J. Pearson

Dollars$

Odds

18% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

Congress balance of power

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