Cash

Trending Midterms Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Predict Live109 AccountSocial

MARKETS INVEST LIVE109

Product

Kalshi Pro Invest Markets Incentive program Institutions API & developers

Company

About Kalshi Research Blog Careers Policy Center Brand Kit

Help

Help Center FAQ Fee schedule Trading hours Regulatory Trust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved

Privacy Data Terms of Service Trading Prohibitions FAQ for Finance Professionals

Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

WA-09 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Smith vs. Basler | Kalshi

Series Image

House

WA-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Smith

Nov 3 ·D +49.9margin forecast

Basler

$23,744 vol

Chance

Adam Smith

Democratic party

98.9%

Adam Smith

Democratic party

98.9%

Doug Basler

Republican party

1.9%

Doug Basler

Republican party

1.9%

Kshama Sawant

Independent

No

Kshama Sawant

Independent

No

Race Intel

WA-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentAdam Smith (D)Running for re-election

WA-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Adam SmithD
$2.1M
5.3%
$2.1M raised·5.3% small donors
Doug BaslerR
$32.8K
16%
$32.8K raised·16% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past WA-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +41.0%2020D +45.2%

People are also trading

Series Image

WA-03 House winner?

Series Image

Washington's 9th District margin of victory

Series Image

Washington 09 House General Election: voter turnout

Series Image

WA-05 House winner?

Series Image

WA-07 House winner?

Series Image

WA-02 House winner?

Series Image

WA-04 House winner?

Series Image

WA-01 House winner?

Series Image

WA-10 House winner?

Series Image

Washington State House winner?

More Washington and 2026 Midterm Races

More Washington races

WA-03 House race WA-05 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?

WA-09 House winner?

Adam Smith

Dollars$

Odds

99% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Which party will win the House?

Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted Iowa Senate race: Hinson vs. Turek South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

New York Governor race: Hochul vs. Blakeman Minnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. Tafoya North Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley Alaska Senate race Nebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. Osborn California Governor race: Becerra vs. Hilton Nevada Governor race: Ford vs. Lombardo Georgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. Collins Georgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. Jackson Massachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. Minogue