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  1. House

FL-19 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Jim Schwartzel
Republican party
94.9%

Jim Schwartzel

Republican party
94.9%
Victor Arias
Democratic party
5.1%

Victor Arias

Democratic party
5.1%
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FL-19 House election: Victor Arias vote percent
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FL-19 House winner?

Jim Schwartzel

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Arias
Nov 3 ·R +19.3margin forecast
Schwartzel
$4,097 vol
Race Intel

FL-19 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentByron Donalds (R)Not seeking re-election

FL-19 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jim SchwartzelR
    $2.1M
    0.3%
    $2.1M raised·0.3% small donors
  • Victor AriasD
    $70K
    13%
    $70K raised·13% small donors

Schwartzel vs. Arias Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsSchwartzel 95%Arias 5% · $1,820 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-19 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +30.1%2020R +22.0%