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House
TX-10 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Chris Gober
Republican party
90.7%
Yes
92.3¢
No
9.4¢
Chris Gober
Republican party
90.7%
Yes
92.3¢
No
9.4¢
Caitlin Rourk
Democratic party
9.3%
Yes
8.4¢
No
93¢
Caitlin Rourk
Democratic party
9.3%
Yes
8.4¢
No
93¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
TX-10 House winner?
Chris Gober
YES 92.3¢
NO 9.4¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Rourk
Nov 3
·
R +11.3
margin forecast
Gober
$12,842 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
TX-10 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Michael McCaul (R)
Not seeking re-election
TX-10 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Caitlin Rourk
D
$531K
31%
$531K raised
·
31% small donors
Chris Gober
R
$3M
0.4%
$3M raised
·
0.4% small donors
Gober vs. Rourk Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Gober 91%
Rourk 9% · $8,667 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past TX-10 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +22.6%
2020
R +14.8%