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House
MN-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Combo
Chance
Ilhan Omar
Democratic (DFL) party
97.5%
▲ 0.5
Yes
97.4¢
No
3¢
Ilhan Omar
Democratic (DFL) party
97.5%
▲ 0.5
Yes
97.4¢
No
3¢
John Nagel
Republican party
2.6%
▼ 0.4
Yes
3¢
No
97.3¢
John Nagel
Republican party
2.6%
▼ 0.4
Yes
3¢
No
97.3¢
DeVelle Jackson
Independent
<1%
Yes
1¢
No
DeVelle Jackson
Independent
<1%
Yes
1¢
No
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Combo
Buy
Sell
Dollars
MN-05 House winner?
Ilhan Omar
YES 97.4¢
NO 3¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Omar
Nov 3
·
D +58.0
margin forecast
Nagel
$1,826,632 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
MN-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Ilhan Omar (D)
Running for re-election
MN-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Ilhan Omar
D
$5.8M
63%
$5.8M raised
·
63% small donors
John Nagel
R
$1M
70%
$1M raised
·
70% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past MN-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +61.9%
2020
D +63.1%