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House
FL-16 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Sydney Gruters
Republican party
73%
▼ 1
Yes
74¢
No
27¢
Sydney Gruters
Republican party
73%
▼ 1
Yes
74¢
No
27¢
Kelly Kirschner
Democratic party
27%
▲ 1
Yes
28¢
No
73¢
Kelly Kirschner
Democratic party
27%
▲ 1
Yes
28¢
No
73¢
FL-16 House Margin of Victory
FL-16 House Voter Turnout
FL-16 House Vote Percent
People are also trading
Florida's 16th District margin of victory
Florida 16 House General Election: voter turnout
FL-16 House election: Kelly Kirschner vote percent
FL-16 House election: Sydney Gruters vote percent
Florida's 16th District margin of victory
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Texas Senate winner?
Who will control the Senate?
Michigan Senate winner?
Florida Governor winner?
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Candidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
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FL-16 House winner?
Sydney Gruters
YES 74¢
NO 27¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
75% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
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Kirschner
Nov 3
·
R +6.0
margin forecast
Gruters
$43,870 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
FL-16 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Vern Buchanan (R)
Not seeking re-election
FL-16 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Kelly Kirschner
D
$751.6K
12%
$751.6K raised
·
12% small donors
Sydney Gruters
R
$1.6M
0.3%
$1.6M raised
·
0.3% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past FL-16 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +13.6%
2020
R +5.5%
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