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House
IA-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Chris McGowan
Republican party
96.6%
▼ 1.2
Yes
98.9¢
No
3.7¢
Chris McGowan
Republican party
96.6%
▼ 1.2
Yes
98.9¢
No
3.7¢
Dave Dawson
Democratic party
3.4%
▲ 1.2
Yes
3.8¢
No
99.2¢
Dave Dawson
Democratic party
3.4%
▲ 1.2
Yes
3.8¢
No
99.2¢
IA-04 House Voter Turnout
IA-04 House Vote Percent
Republican Margin of Victory
People are also trading
Iowa's 4th District margin of victory
Iowa 04 House General Election: voter turnout
IA-04 House election: Chris McGowan vote percent
IA-04 House election: Dave Dawson vote percent
Who will control the House?
Texas Senate winner?
Who will control the Senate?
Michigan Senate winner?
Florida Governor winner?
Texas Governor winner?
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Candidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
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IA-04 House winner?
Chris McGowan
YES 98.9¢
NO 3.7¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
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Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
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Dawson
Nov 3
·
R +20.3
margin forecast
McGowan
$26,657 vol
1D
1W
1M
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Race Intel
IA-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Randy Feenstra (R)
Not seeking re-election
IA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Chris McGowan
R
$853.3K
0.7%
$853.3K raised
·
0.7% small donors
Dave Dawson
D
$240.2K
33%
$240.2K raised
·
33% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past IA-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +31.5%
2020
R +26.0%
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