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House
MN-01 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Brad Finstad
Republican party
60%
Yes
61¢
No
40¢
Brad Finstad
Republican party
60%
Yes
61¢
No
40¢
Jake Johnson
Democratic (DFL) party
40%
Yes
40¢
No
61¢
Jake Johnson
Democratic (DFL) party
40%
Yes
40¢
No
61¢
MN-01 House Margin of Victory
MN-01 House Voter Turnout
MN-01 House Vote Percent
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Candidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
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MN-01 House winner?
Brad Finstad
YES 61¢
NO 40¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
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Odds
63% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
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Johnson
Nov 3
·
R +1.3
margin forecast
Finstad
$424,711 vol
1D
1W
1M
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Race Intel
MN-01 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Brad Finstad (R)
Running for re-election
MN-01 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Polls
Raised
Small Donors
Brad Finstad
R
45.0%
45.0%
$2.6M
6.8%
$2.6M raised
·
6.8% small donors
Jake Johnson
D
44.7%
44.7%
$3.2M
29%
$3.2M raised
·
29% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past MN-01 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +12.0%
2020
R +9.2%
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