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House
TX-23 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Combo
Chance
Brandon Herrera
Republican party
56%
▲ 5
Yes
56¢
No
45¢
Brandon Herrera
Republican party
56%
▲ 5
Yes
56¢
No
45¢
Katy Padilla Stout
Democratic party
44%
▼ 5
Yes
45¢
No
56¢
Katy Padilla Stout
Democratic party
44%
▼ 5
Yes
45¢
No
56¢
TX-23 House Margin of Victory
TX-23 House Voter Turnout
TX-23 House Vote Percent
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
What’s on your ballot?
Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.
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Candidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.
Combo
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Dollars
TX-23 House winner?
Brandon Herrera
YES 56¢
NO 45¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
58% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Stout
Nov 3
·
R +1.9
margin forecast
Herrera
$1,262,991 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
TX-23 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Tony Gonzales (R)
Seat vacant
TX-23 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Polls
Raised
Small Donors
Brandon Herrera
R
44.6%
44.6%
$3.1M
0.8%
$3.1M raised
·
0.8% small donors
Katy Padilla Stout
D
43.9%
43.9%
$484.9K
39%
$484.9K raised
·
39% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past TX-23 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +14.8%
2020
R +7.2%
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