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House

VA-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Chance

John McGuire

Republican party

61%

▼ 6

John McGuire

Republican party

61%

▼ 6

Tom Perriello

Democratic party

39%

▲ 6

Tom Perriello

Democratic party

39%

▲ 6

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Virginia's 5th District margin of victory

General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?

Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.

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VA-05 House winner?

John McGuire

Dollars$

Odds

64% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Perriello

Nov 3 ·R +1.1margin forecast

McGuire

$1,234,861 vol

Race Intel

VA-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJohn McGuire (R)Running for re-election

VA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

John McGuireR
$2.2M
23%
$2.2M raised·23% small donors
Tom PerrielloD
$2.1M
9.9%
$2.1M raised·9.9% small donors

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past VA-05 Election Results

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2024R +12.2%2020R +8.3%

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