Who will win the Senate race in Texas?

Live bets: Kalshi.com

ALL

2026

% Chance

$4,326,634vol

Republican party

Current incumbent: John Cornyn

75%

Republican party

Current incumbent: John Cornyn

75%

Democratic party

25%

Democratic party

25%

Rules summary for

Republican party

If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Texas for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from United States Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions

People are also betting

Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Ohio?

64% chance

· Vivek Ramaswamy

What will Trump say in his speech about the State of the Union on March 4th?

53% chance

· Drill Baby Drill

Who will win the Senate race in Virginia?

88% chance

· Democratic party