Texas Senate winner?

Live

99.0% votes countedD +12.1

Resolves by winning party

James Talarico

55.1% · 5,446,309 votesDemocratic party

Yes

James Talarico

55.1% · 5,446,309 votesDemocratic party

Yes

Ken Paxton

43.0% · 4,250,166 votesRepublican party

Ken Paxton

43.0% · 4,250,166 votesRepublican party

People are also trading

Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout

Texas Senate: margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?

Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.

See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.

James Talarico

Dollars

Odds

0% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2026

Texas Senate winner?

Live

99.0% votes countedD +12.1

Resolves by winning party

Talarico5,446,309

Paxton4,250,166

$199,423,736 vol

James Talarico

55.1% · 5,446,309 votesDemocratic party

Yes

James Talarico

55.1% · 5,446,309 votesDemocratic party

Yes

Ken Paxton

43.0% · 4,250,166 votesRepublican party

Ken Paxton

43.0% · 4,250,166 votesRepublican party

Race Intel

Texas Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJohn Cornyn (R)Lost primary

Texas Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors

James TalaricoD49.3%
49.3%
$68.6M
54%
$68.6M raised·54% small donors
Ken PaxtonR45.6%
45.6%
$19.5M
19%
$19.5M raised·19% small donors

Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Texas Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.7%2020R +5.6%

People are also trading

Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout

Texas Senate: margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?

Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.

See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.

James Talarico

Dollars

Odds

0% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2026

Race Intel

Texas Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJohn Cornyn (R)Lost primary

Texas Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors

James TalaricoD49.3%
49.3%
$68.6M
54%
$68.6M raised·54% small donors
Ken PaxtonR45.6%
45.6%
$19.5M
19%
$19.5M raised·19% small donors

Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Texas Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.7%2020R +5.6%

Texas Senate winner?

James Talarico

Ken Paxton

James Talarico

Texas Senate winner?

James Talarico

Ken Paxton

Texas Senate Race 2026

Texas Senate Candidates and Fundraising

Past Texas Election Results

Past presidential elections

More Texas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Texas races

Control of Congress

Midterms forecast

Top races

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James Talarico

Texas Senate Race 2026

Texas Senate Candidates and Fundraising

Past Texas Election Results

Past presidential elections

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Control of Congress

Midterms forecast

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Texas Senate winner?

James Talarico

Ken Paxton

Texas Senate Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Voter Turnout

Texas Senate Vote Percent

Counties Won by James Talarico

Texas Senate Results by County

Margin of Victory (Bracketed)

Number of Counties Won by James Talarico

Race called?

Raman vs. Talarico Margin

Talarico Outperforms the Polls

James Talarico

Texas Senate winner?

James Talarico

Ken Paxton

Texas Senate Race 2026

Texas Senate Candidates and Fundraising

Past Texas Election Results

Past presidential elections

Texas Senate Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Voter Turnout

Texas Senate Vote Percent

Counties Won by James Talarico

Texas Senate Results by County

Margin of Victory (Bracketed)

Number of Counties Won by James Talarico

Race called?

Raman vs. Talarico Margin

Talarico Outperforms the Polls

More Texas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Texas races

Control of Congress

Midterms forecast

Top races

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James Talarico

Texas Senate Race 2026

Texas Senate Candidates and Fundraising

Past Texas Election Results

Past presidential elections

More Texas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Texas races

Control of Congress

Midterms forecast

Top races

More races