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  1. House

CA-23 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
449
Chance
Jay Obernolte
Republican party
96.1%
▼ 0.9

Jay Obernolte

Republican party
96.1%
▼ 0.9
Tessa Lynn Hodge
Democratic party
3.9%
▲ 0.9

Tessa Lynn Hodge

Democratic party
3.9%
▲ 0.9

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General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?
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CA-23 House winner?

Jay Obernolte

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Hodge
Nov 3 ·R +4.7margin forecast
Obernolte
$341,541 vol

AI Digest · Obernolte's safe California seat shows a close count against Hodge

Not advice
Race Intel

CA-23 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJay Obernolte (R)Running for re-election

CA-23 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jay ObernolteR
    $1.8M
    0.1%
    $1.8M raised·0.1% small donors
  • Tessa Lynn HodgeD
    $122.5K
    38%
    $122.5K raised·38% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-23 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +19.4%2020R +12.1%

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