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US Elections
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2026 midterm predictions

Who will control the Senate?

Live

Settles on media consensus; if no consensus, President pro tempore's party on 2/1/27

2

Chance

Democratic Party

86%

▲ 11

Democratic Party

86%

▲ 11

Republican Party

14%

▼ 11

Republican Party

14%

▼ 11

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Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

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How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

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Closest Senate race this year?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)

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How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection this year?

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How many Republican senators will lose reelection this year?

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Who will control the House?

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Texas Senate winner?

General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?

Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.

See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.

Who will control the Senate?

Democratic Party

Dollars$

Odds

87% chance

Max payout

Feb 1, 2027

$0

Democratic

Republican

$201,155,550 vol

Who Will Control the Senate in 2026?

35 Senate seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. Kalshi traders give Democrats an 86% chance of winning control.

The races most likely to decide control are Texas, Michigan, Maine, Iowa, Ohio, South Carolina and Kansas. Each has its own market below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions 2026 Senate forecast

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins Iowa Senate race: Turek vs. Hinson Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Massachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. Deaton Kansas Governor race: Masterson vs. Holscher Michigan Governor race: Benson vs. James Oregon Governor race: Kotek vs. Drazan Louisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. Davis Tennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. Green Minnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. Demuth Illinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. Bailey South Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. Bengs Arkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. Shoffner