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US Elections
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2026 midterm predictions

Who will control the Senate?

Live

Settles on media consensus; if no consensus, President pro tempore's party on 2/1/27

2

Chance

Democratic Party

99.6%

▲ 23.6

Democratic Party

99.6%

▲ 23.6

Republican Party

0.4%

▼ 23.6

Republican Party

0.4%

▼ 23.6

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Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

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How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)

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Closest Senate race this year?

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How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection this year?

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How many Republican senators will lose reelection this year?

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Texas Senate winner?

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Who will control the House?

General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?

Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.

See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.

Who will control the Senate?

Democratic Party

Dollars$

Odds

100% chance

Max payout

Feb 1, 2027

$0

Democratic

Republican

$300,569,168 vol

Who Will Control the Senate in 2026?

35 Senate seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 100% chance of winning control.

The races most likely to decide control are Texas, Michigan, Maine, South Carolina, Iowa, Ohio and Kansas. Each has its own market below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions 2026 Senate forecast

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins South Carolina Senate race: Andrews vs. Graham Iowa Senate race: Turek vs. Hinson Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall Texas Governor race: Hinojosa vs. Abbott Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Vermont Governor race: Scott vs. Janoo Kansas Governor race: Holscher vs. Masterson Idaho Senate race: Risch vs. Achilles Alabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. Jones Kentucky Senate race: Barr vs. Booker Massachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. Deaton Minnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. Demuth Oregon Governor race: Kotek vs. Drazan Michigan Governor race: Benson vs. James Arkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. Shoffner