Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive134AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE134
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. Governor

Texas Governor winner?

Resolves by winning party

Combo

Chance

Greg Abbott
Republican party
65%
▼ 4

Greg Abbott

Republican party
65%
▼ 4

Gina Hinojosa
Democratic party
35%
▲ 4

Gina Hinojosa

Democratic party
35%
▲ 4

People are also trading
Series Image
Texas Governor: margin of victory
Series Image
Texas Governor margin of victory
Series Image
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Series Image
Texas Governor margin of victory
Series Image
Texas Governor General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
TX-15 House winner?
Series Image
TX-09 House winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor-Senate combo
Series Image
TX-23 House winner?
Series Image
TX-24 House winner?

More Texas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Texas races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTX-15 House raceTX-23 House raceTX-35 House raceTX-28 House raceTX-34 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanOhio Governor race: Acton vs. RamaswamyKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. Tafoya

More races

Tennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. BradshawSouth Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. BengsOregon Governor race: Kotek vs. DrazanArkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. ShoffnerOklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. MunsonTennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. GreenIllinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. BaileyNew Hampshire Governor race: Ayotte vs. WarmingtonColorado Governor race: Weiser vs. MarxNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. Murphy
Combo
Texas Governor winner?

Greg Abbott

Odds
68% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Hinojosa
Nov 3 ·R +1.8margin forecast
Abbott
$5,405,061 vol
Race Intel

Texas Governor Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentGreg Abbott (R)Running for re-election

Texas Governor Candidates

CandidatePolls
  • Greg AbbottR48.7%
    48.7%
  • Gina HinojosaD46.4%
    46.4%
Polling averages

Past Texas Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.7%2020R +5.6%