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  1. House

NY-12 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Micah Lasher
Democratic party
98.1%
▲ 0.1

Micah Lasher

Democratic party
98.1%
▲ 0.1
Caroline Shinkle
Republican party
1.9%
▼ 0.1

Caroline Shinkle

Republican party
1.9%
▼ 0.1
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NY-12 House winner?

Micah Lasher

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Lasher
Nov 3 ·D +66.0margin forecast
Shinkle
$44,873 vol
Race Intel

NY-12 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJerrold Nadler (D)Not seeking re-election

NY-12 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Caroline ShinkleR
    $155.1K
    15%
    $155.1K raised·15% small donors
  • Micah LasherD
    $3.3M
    2.7%
    $3.3M raised·2.7% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-12 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +63.6%2020D +71.4%