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US Elections
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2026 midterm predictions

Who will control the House?

2

Chance

Democratic Party

93.3%

▼ 0.1

Democratic Party

93.3%

▼ 0.1

Republican Party

6.7%

▲ 0.1

Republican Party

6.7%

▲ 0.1

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Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

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How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

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How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

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How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

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Texas Senate winner?

General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?

Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.

See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.

Who will control the House?

Democratic Party

Dollars$

Odds

94% chance

Max payout

Feb 1, 2027

$0

Democratic

Nov 3

Republican

$229,525,167 vol

Who Will Win the House in 2026?

All 435 House seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. A party needs 218 seats for a majority. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 93% chance of winning control of the House.

Control will come down to 435 competitive districts. The most traded have their own markets below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions 2026 House forecast

Key House races

TX-15 House race MN-05 House race VA-05 House race TX-23 House race NY-17 House race FL-25 House race MT-01 House race NC-03 House race NC-01 House race NC-11 House race

Top Senate and governor races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted Iowa Senate race: Turek vs. Hinson Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Kansas Governor race: Masterson vs. Holscher Oregon Governor race: Kotek vs. Drazan Michigan Governor race: Benson vs. James Minnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. Demuth South Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. Bengs Tennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. Green Louisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. Davis Oklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. Munson Colorado Governor race: Weiser vs. Marx New Hampshire Governor race: Ayotte vs. Warmington