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  1. US Elections
  2. /
  3. 2026 midterm predictions

Which party will win the U.S. House?

2
Combo
Chance
Democratic Party
90.6%
▲ 0.4

Democratic Party

90.6%
▲ 0.4
Republican Party
9.4%
▼ 0.4

Republican Party

9.4%
▼ 0.4
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
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California Governor winner? (Person)

Who Will Win the House in 2026?

All 435 House seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. A party needs 218 seats for a majority. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 91% chance of winning control of the House.

Control will come down to 31 competitive districts. The most traded have their own markets below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Congress balance of power

Key House races

MT-01 House raceNY-17 House raceAL-02 House raceVA-01 House raceTX-23 House raceFL-14 House raceVA-05 House racePA-01 House raceTX-35 House raceNC-01 House race

Top Senate and governor races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Michigan Governor race: Benson vs. JamesIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. AchillesTennessee Senate race: Hagerty vs. BradshawOregon Governor race: Kotek vs. DrazanSouth Dakota Senate race: Rounds vs. BengsArkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. ShoffnerOklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. MunsonIllinois Governor race: Pritzker vs. BaileyNew Hampshire Governor race: Ayotte vs. WarmingtonTennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. Green
Combo
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Democratic Party

Democratic Party

Odds
91% chance
Max payout
Feb 1, 2027
$0
Democrat
Nov 3
Republican
$118,018,266 vol