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  1. US Elections
  2. /
  3. 2026 midterm predictions

Which party will win the U.S. House?

2
Combo
Chance
Democratic Party
91.2%
▼ 0.2

Democratic Party

91.2%
▼ 0.2
Republican Party
8.8%
▲ 0.2

Republican Party

8.8%
▲ 0.2
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Texas Senate winner?
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Texas Governor winner?
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Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
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California Governor winner? (Person)

Who Will Win the House in 2026?

All 435 House seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. A party needs 218 seats for a majority. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 91% chance of winning control of the House.

Control will come down to 435 competitive districts. The most traded have their own markets below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Congress balance of power

Key House races

TX-15 House raceMN-05 House raceMT-01 House raceFL-25 House raceFL-14 House raceTX-23 House raceAL-02 House raceNC-11 House raceNC-01 House raceVA-05 House race

Top Senate and governor races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Idaho Governor race: Little vs. PickensFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyMinnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaNebraska Senate race: Ricketts vs. OsbornAlaska Senate raceGeorgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. JacksonCalifornia Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonNew Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. SununuGeorgia Senate race: Ossoff vs. Collins
Combo
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Democratic Party

Democratic Party

Odds
92% chance
Max payout
Feb 1, 2027
$0
Democratic
Nov 3
Republican
$134,146,544 vol