Who will win the House race for CA-13?

Adam Gray 100%

John Duarte N/A

Live bets: Kalshi.com

ALL

What is Kalshi?

Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the US where you can trade on events, just like stocks. Think of it as the NYSE, but for things you relate to, care about, and understand.

2024 (+0)

$8,703,537vol

Adam Gray

Yes

Adam Gray

Yes

John Duarte

Rules summary for

Adam Gray

If the House member sworn in for CA-13 for the term beginning in 2025 is a member of Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Expiration value: Adam Gray

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions

What's happening

New

The House District 13 rematch between Adam Gray and John Duarte remains too close to call, with both candidates waiting for the final tally of votes. The contest is a repeat of the 2022 election, where Duarte narrowly won by just 564 votes. As of now, neither candidate has conceded, and the outcome hinges on the remaining uncounted ballots.

What's happening

Nov 5, 2024

Republican Rep. John Duarte and Democratic challenger Adam Gray are battling for California's 13th Congressional District in a rematch of a 2022 race decided by just over 500 votes. Duarte, considered a moderate Republican, has represented the district since the 2022 election, while Gray, a moderate Democrat, previously represented Merced and Stanislaus counties in California's 21st Assembly District from 2012 to 2022. The race is one of a handful of competitive races in the state that could help decide control of the U.S. House.

People are also betting