MARKETSPERPSLIVE136
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive136AccountSocial
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

CA-45 House winner?

Resolves by winning party


Chance

Derek Tran
Democratic party
91.9%
▲ 0.7

Derek Tran

Democratic party
91.9%
▲ 0.7

Chuong Vo
Republican party
8.1%
▼ 0.7

Chuong Vo

Republican party
8.1%
▼ 0.7

People are also trading
Series Image
California Lieutenant Governor winner?
Series Image
California's 45th District margin of victory
Series Image
California 45 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Series Image
CA-22 House winner?
Series Image
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
Series Image
California Insurance Commissioner winner?
Series Image
How many House seats will Democrats win in California?
Series Image
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
Series Image
Oakland Mayor winner?

More California and 2026 Midterm Races

More California races

California Governor race: Becerra vs. HiltonCA-11 House raceCA-22 House raceCA-34 House raceCA-07 House raceCA-14 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly

More races

Tennessee Governor race: Blackburn vs. GreenAlaska Governor raceKansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. DeatonNebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. Walz
CA-45 House winner?

Derek Tran

Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Tran
Nov 3 ·D +13.7margin forecast
Vo
$116,066 vol
Race Intel

CA-45 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentDerek Tran (D)Running for re-election

CA-45 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Chuong VoR
    $844K
    27%
    $844K raised·27% small donors
  • Derek TranD
    $5M
    16%
    $5M raised·16% small donors

Tran vs. Vo Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsTran 92%Vo 8% · $110.6K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past CA-45 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +4.0%2020D +10.1%