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House
CA-45 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Derek Tran
Democratic party
91.9%
▲ 0.7
Yes
92.7¢
No
7.6¢
Derek Tran
Democratic party
91.9%
▲ 0.7
Yes
92.7¢
No
7.6¢
Chuong Vo
Republican party
8.1%
▼ 0.7
Yes
8.1¢
No
92.8¢
Chuong Vo
Republican party
8.1%
▼ 0.7
Yes
8.1¢
No
92.8¢
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Buy
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Dollars
CA-45 House winner?
Derek Tran
YES 92.7¢
NO 7.6¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Tran
Nov 3
·
D +13.7
margin forecast
Vo
$116,066 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
CA-45 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Derek Tran (D)
Running for re-election
CA-45 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Chuong Vo
R
$844K
27%
$844K raised
·
27% small donors
Derek Tran
D
$5M
16%
$5M raised
·
16% small donors
Tran vs. Vo Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Tran 92%
Vo 8% · $110.6K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CA-45 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +4.0%
2020
D +10.1%