WI-03 House winner?
WI-03 House winner?
Begins in 173 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST
Chance
Market Rules
Democratic party
If the House member sworn in for WI-3 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openJul 1, 2025 · 5:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout1 minute after closing
SeriesHOUSEWI3
EventHOUSEWI3-26
MarketHOUSEWI3-26-D
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Holders of federal and statewide public office.
- Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
- Paid campaign staffers on House campaigns.
- Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of House campaigns.
- Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee
- Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
- Paid employees of major polling organizations.
- Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
- All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
- All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
- All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
- All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
- All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices
- Any foreign national. This is defined as an individual who is: (1) not a citizen of the United States and (2) not lawfully admitted for permanent residence (as defined in 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(20)); or a foreign principal, as defined in 22 U.S.C. § 611(b). Section 611(b) defines a foreign principal to include a foreign government or political party; or a partnership, association, corporation, organization, or other combination of persons organized under the laws of a foreign country or whose principal place of business is in a foreign country.
- Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity.
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event