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US Elections
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2026 midterm predictions

Who will control the Senate?

Settles on media consensus; if no consensus, President pro tempore's party on 2/1/27

2

Chance

Democratic Party

76%

▲ 3

Democratic Party

76%

▲ 3

Republican Party

24%

▼ 3

Republican Party

24%

▼ 3

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Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

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How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

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Closest Senate race this year?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)

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How many Democratic Senators will lose reelection this year?

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How many Republican senators will lose reelection this year?

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Who will control the House?

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Texas Senate winner?

General election · Nov 3, 2026What’s on your ballot?

Enter your address to see every contest and ballot question, with live odds on the ones Kalshi prices.

See your ballotCandidate and measure details from Ballotpedia.

Who will control the Senate?

Democratic Party

Dollars$

Odds

77% chance

Max payout

Feb 1, 2027

$0

Democratic

Nov 3

Republican

$169,520,757 vol

Who Will Control the Senate in 2026?

35 Senate seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 76% chance of winning control.

The races most likely to decide control are Texas, Michigan, Maine, Ohio, Iowa, Kansas and South Carolina. Each has its own market below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Midterms forecast

2026 midterm predictions 2026 Senate forecast

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. Paxton Michigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. Rogers Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. Collins Ohio Senate race: Brown vs. Husted Iowa Senate race: Turek vs. Hinson Kansas Senate race: Hamilton vs. Marshall South Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. Andrews Texas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa Florida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly Ohio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Georgia Governor race: Bottoms vs. Jackson Iowa Governor race: Sand vs. Lahn New Hampshire Senate race: Pappas vs. Sununu Mississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. Colom Wisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. Tiffany Arizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. Biggs Montana Senate race: Alme vs. Bodnar Pennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. Garrity Idaho Senate race: Risch vs. Achilles Vermont Governor race: Scott vs. Janoo