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  1. House

FL-14 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Kathy Castor
Democratic party
67%

Kathy Castor

Democratic party
67%

Mike Beltran
Republican party
33%

Mike Beltran

Republican party
33%

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Florida's 14th District margin of victory
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FL-14 House election: Kathy Castor vote percent
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FL-14 House election: Mike Beltran vote percent
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FL-14 House winner?

Kathy Castor

Odds
70% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Castor
Nov 3 ·D +4.7margin forecast
Beltran
$308,548 vol
Race Intel

FL-14 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentKathy Castor (D)Running for re-election

FL-14 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Kathy CastorD
    $2M
    7.6%
    $2M raised·7.6% small donors
  • Mike BeltranR
    $2.1M
    0.2%
    $2.1M raised·0.2% small donors

Castor vs. Beltran Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsCastor 67%Beltran 33% · $301.1K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past FL-14 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +10.5%2020R +2.8%