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  1. House

TX-23 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Brandon Herrera
Republican party
70%

Brandon Herrera

Republican party
70%
Katy Padilla Stout
Democratic party
30%

Katy Padilla Stout

Democratic party
30%
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TX-23 House winner?

Brandon Herrera

Odds
73% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Stout
Nov 3 ·R +5.5margin forecast
Herrera
$303,841 vol
Race Intel

TX-23 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTony Gonzales (R)Running for re-election

TX-23 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Brandon HerreraR42.0%
    42.0%
    $1.9M
    0.9%
    $1.9M raised·0.9% small donors
  • Katy Padilla StoutD40.0%
    40.0%
    $484.9K
    39%
    $484.9K raised·39% small donors

Herrera vs. Stout Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageHerrera +2.042.0% vs. 40.0%
Kalshi oddsHerrera 70%Stout 30% · $270.9K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-23 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +14.8%2020R +7.2%