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House
CA-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Tom McClintock
Republican party
92.4%
Yes
93.4¢
No
7.5¢
Tom McClintock
Republican party
92.4%
Yes
93.4¢
No
7.5¢
Michael Masuda
Democratic party
7.6%
Yes
7.6¢
No
93.2¢
Michael Masuda
Democratic party
7.6%
Yes
7.6¢
No
93.2¢
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Buy
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Dollars
CA-05 House winner?
Tom McClintock
YES 93.4¢
NO 7.5¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
94% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Masuda
Nov 3
·
R +12.3
margin forecast
McClintock
$20,583 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
CA-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Tom McClintock (R)
Running for re-election
CA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Michael Masuda
D
$542K
34%
$542K raised
·
34% small donors
Tom McClintock
R
$1.2M
11%
$1.2M raised
·
11% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CA-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +20.7%
2020
R +14.5%