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CA-23 House Winner? 2026 Race Odds: Obernolte vs. Hodge | Kalshi
House
CA-23 House winner?
Live
57.8% votes counted
·
R +5.2
Resolves by winning party
458
Chance
Jay Obernolte
51.3% · 67,843 votes
Republican party
83%
▲ 5
Yes
85¢
No
16¢
Jay Obernolte
51.3% · 67,843 votes
Republican party
83%
▲ 5
Yes
85¢
No
16¢
Tessa Lynn Hodge
48.7% · 64,324 votes
Democratic party
17%
▼ 5
Yes
17¢
No
85¢
Tessa Lynn Hodge
48.7% · 64,324 votes
Democratic party
17%
▼ 5
Yes
17¢
No
85¢
CA-23 House Voter Turnout
CA-23 House Vote Percent
Republican Margin of Victory
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General election · Nov 3, 2026
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Jay Obernolte
YES --
NO --
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
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Hodge
64,324
Obernolte
67,843
$140,822 vol
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Race Intel
CA-23 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Jay Obernolte (R)
Running for re-election
CA-23 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Jay Obernolte
R
$1.8M
0.1%
$1.8M raised
·
0.1% small donors
Tessa Lynn Hodge
D
$122.5K
38%
$122.5K raised
·
38% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CA-23 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +19.4%
2020
R +12.1%
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