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  1. House

MA-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Bill Keating
Democratic party
93.3%

Bill Keating

Democratic party
93.3%
Tyler MacAllister
Republican party
6.7%

Tyler MacAllister

Republican party
6.7%
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Massachusetts's 9th District margin of victory
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MA-09 House election: Bill Keating vote percent
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MA-09 House election: Tyler MacAllister vote percent
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More Massachusetts and 2026 Midterm Races

More Massachusetts races

Massachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. MinogueMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. Deaton

Control of Congress

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MA-09 House winner?

Bill Keating

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Keating
Nov 3 ·D +24.5margin forecast
MacAllister
$4,913 vol
Race Intel

MA-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentWilliam Keating (D)Running for re-election

MA-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Bill KeatingD
    $534.9K
    10.0%
    $534.9K raised·10.0% small donors
  • Tyler MacAllisterR
    $212.9K
    15%
    $212.9K raised·15% small donors

Keating vs. MacAllister Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsKeating 93%MacAllister 7% · $948.88 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MA-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +10.7%2020D +18.2%